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TPP – 11 is the upcoming free-trade zone

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Teaser: The global trade routes are currently challenged due to increased import tariffs and movement within the free-trade zones, though it also opens new opportunities. The stormiest agreement about a free-trade zone within the recent years is, in my view, the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) treaty that was concluded in February 2016. The agreement was signed...
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The quiet life of the greenback

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The U.S. unemployment rate is at its lowest over the past 50 years, and of course, the American economy is robust. At the same time, the U.S. central bank Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) raises interest rates every quarter. This again pushes the entire yield curve up, including the important 10-year U.S. treasury yield. If one...
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The family Smith and the inflation

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Teaser: U.S. import tariffs on Chinese goods are beginning to come into force, therefore both the financial markets and the U.S. consumers are preparing for rising inflation – if it happens…. Many things can be said about U.S. President Trump, and one of many could be that he forces both people and countries out of...
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This is how the next economic crisis will be

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Teaser: Lately, there have been many comments about the next global financial crisis to the 10-year “anniversary”, but a new crisis is building, though very slowly. The “financial crisis” that will hit Wall Street and other markets around the world will “just” be a correction. I still argue that bonds are overpriced, and this asset...
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Excitement over China’s growth

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Teaser: China’s government expects a GDP growth of 6.5 pct. this year and a number of economists even predict 6.6 pct., though it could suddenly turn out to be too optimistic. A stable GDP growth of around 6.5 pct. in China on the surface seems reasonable, but everyone knows that China is in a storm...
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